More from Brandon Anderson
Bet the Boston Celtics to FORCE Game 7 vs New York Knicks? | Game 6 Best Bets & Preview | Buckets
Are the Knicks Due for a Collapse vs Celtics in Game 6? | Wednesday NBA Playoff Best Bets | Buckets
NBA Experts Give Out MORE THAN 15 Betting Picks For Tuesday's NBA Playoff Games! | Buckets Podcast
Do The Knicks Have ANY Chance Of Upsetting The Celtics?? | Eastern Conference Picks | Buckets Pod
Bet Detroit Pistons to WIN the Series vs New York Knicks? | Tuesday NBA Playoffs Best Bets | Buckets
Is NOW The Time To Back A Desperate Orlando Magic Team? | NBA Playoff Betting Picks | Buckets Pod
Warriors vs. Rockets & Magic vs. Celtics Best Bets | NBA Playoffs First Round 2/7 Matchups | Buckets
Brandon Anderson's Picks
Today
Pending
SGA 4+ assists each game+260
1u
6.5 vs den this year, 6.4 regular season, 4+ in 73/80 this year and that’s mostly regular season minutes. I make this over 60% in 6g so -150
10
2-WAY PARLAY+300
1u
Cavs G3 / Pacers series bet, negatively correlated so we get some extra juice. I see plenty of reason to like Cleveland with healthy bodies back, but Indy is good and an 0-2 horn deficit is a lot to overcome when you’re not Boston over NYK levels of good. I make this scenario 33% likely so +200 vs this price.
CLE -210
CLE
126
104
IND
FINAL 5/09
Indiana Pacers-170
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Round 2 - To Win
30
Horford o3.5 fouls-125
BOS
@
NYK
0.75u
05/17 12:00 AM
Porzingis is cooked and Kornet can’t be Mutombo every game. Horford has to play big minutes vs KAT and Mitch so the fouls are adding up: 4-4-4-5 this series, outside of 0 in the way G3 blowout.
17
Mitchell Robinson o1.5 FTs made+110
BOS
@NYK
0.5u
05/17 12:00 AM
Hack a Mitch = 3/10, 4/12, and 6/6 games this series and with Porzingis invisible, Boston needs Mitch off the floor. You can play o3.5 attempts IF YOURE A COWARD but that’s -120 so let’s make this worth our while and enjoy a sweat.
31
P.Pritchard To Make 3+ Threes Yes-175
BOS
@NYK
1u
05/17 12:00 AM
With Tatum and effectively Porzingis out, Pritchard is playing starter minutes and he’s taking a 3 almost every 3 minutes this series.
In 14 games with 34+ minutes this year, PP is averaging 4.2 3s on 10.6 attempts with 4+ makes in 71% and 5+ in half.
Even with 8+ attempts, he makes 3+ in 40/48 (83%, implied -500), 4+ in 69%, and 5+ in 46%. If he’s playing, he’s firing. Let’s ride.
72
P.Pritchard To Make 4+ Threes Yes+132
BOS
@NYK
0.5u
05/17 12:00 AM
With Tatum and effectively Porzingis out, Pritchard is playing starter minutes and he’s taking a 3 almost every 3 minutes this series.
In 14 games with 34+ minutes this year, PP is averaging 4.2 3s on 10.6 attempts with 4+ makes in 71% and 5+ in half.
Even with 8+ attempts, he makes 3+ in 40/48 (83%, implied -500), 4+ in 69%, and 5+ in 46%. If he’s playing, he’s firing. Let’s ride.
81
P.Pritchard To Make 5+ Threes Yes+300
BOS
@NYK
0.5u
05/17 12:00 AM
With Tatum and effectively Porzingis out, Pritchard is playing starter minutes and he’s taking a 3 almost every 3 minutes this series.
In 14 games with 34+ minutes this year, PP is averaging 4.2 3s on 10.6 attempts with 4+ makes in 71% and 5+ in half.
Even with 8+ attempts, he makes 3+ in 40/48 (83%, implied -500), 4+ in 69%, and 5+ in 46%. If he’s playing, he’s firing. Let’s ride.
60
J.Holiday o4.5 Rebs+105
BOS
@NYK
0.65u
05/17 12:00 AM
With Tatum/KP out and Pritchard playing more, Jrue is playing a position up. That means way more rebounding opportunities, 16 last game up from 9.3 the rest of the series. Holiday has been good reb in the past, with 6+ board in 12 of 19 Celtics playoff games last year and 8+ in 6/19 almost a third. Jrue plays other energy and should see all the minutes he can handle so that should mean reb chances. I project just over 6 with upside for more esp if he adds to his 10 oreb this series.
115
J.Holiday To Record 6+ Rebounds Yes+220
BOS
@NYK
0.75u
05/17 12:00 AM
With Tatum/KP out and Pritchard playing more, Jrue is playing a position up. That means way more rebounding opportunities, 16 last game up from 9.3 the rest of the series. Holiday has been good reb in the past, with 6+ board in 12 of 19 Celtics playoff games last year and 8+ in 6/19 almost a third. Jrue plays other energy and should see all the minutes he can handle so that should mean reb chances. I project just over 6 with upside for more esp if he adds to his 10 oreb this series.
60
J.Holiday To Record 8+ Rebounds Yes+800
BOS
@NYK
0.25u
05/17 12:00 AM
52
J.Holiday Double-Double (Yes)+2900
BOS
@NYK
0.15u
05/17 12:00 AM
3 double doubles in final 8 playoff games last year, and missed 2 others by one board. I’d feel better about like 8/8 and we could even get the rebounds but not the points but this is priced way too long for his minutes and role
57
SGA rd2 assists leader+1800
0.25u
same bet/reason as yesterday, just a heads up on a bad number hanging at bet365. I make him around +300 right now.
15
SGA assists leader vs DEN+600
1u
Huge 21 potentials G1 the way they’re defending him, way ahead of Jokic (12) and JDub (8). We’ll see if that lasts, but that’s enough margin ahead of Jokic to take an early swing at this market and think SGA should at least be played to give us options later
39
Thunder in 6 vs DEN+470
0.5u
Buckets live! 🪣 split bet bt 5 and 6
55
JDub 3+ ast each game vs DEN+250
2u
JDub assist overs hit rd1, keep playing. Had 9-8-6 last 3g vs denver, 7.7apg on 13.7 potentials way up from 5.1 and 9.4 season averages. 5+ every game of sweep last round, and 3+ in 28 straight games rn and 67/73 on season (92%) and now he’s playing better and more minutes. This looks 70 or even over 80% likely. If you can’t play, 6apg +300 dk is an ok pivot.
11
JDub 6apg vs DEN+300
0.25u
JDub assist overs hit rd1, keep playing. Had 9-8-6 last 3g vs denver, 7.7apg on 13.7 potentials way up from 5.1 and 9.4 season averages. 5+ every game of sweep last round, and 3+ in 28 straight games rn and 67/73 on season (92%) and now he’s playing better and more minutes. This looks 70 or even over 80% likely. If you can’t play, 6apg +300 dk is an ok pivot.
39
A.Gordon 3+ reb each game vs OKC+170
1u
AG had 18 regular season games under 24’, otherwise he’s had 3+ in 37/41 games (90%) and had 4+ all 7g vs LAC in obviously way higher minutes. It’s not sexy but I make this over 50%.
5
Jokic overall R2 Rebounds Leader-150
3u
-2500 at 365, should smash unless it’s a reverse sweep, collab with @JoeDellera
SGA assists leader vs DEN+120
0.5u
This is still a terrible price. I make SGA at least -200, only not playing more cuz I already have a strong position but add to your position or bet fresh if you haven’t.
29
JDub 3s leader vs DEN+2200
0.25u
This market is a mess as expected: Gordon 9, Jamal Caruso MPJ 7, Dort 6, JDub 5, Jokic SGA 4. No one gets huge volume here so this feels very up for grabs. Looking to build a position with a few names. My favorite by order right now is Jamal Dort AG JDub in that order, so taking the long # and will look to add a name or two in the future a this potentially bounces around. JDub is 3rd in att just needs to hit.
27
SGA 8+ apg vs DEN+190
1.5u
One last one, he’s at x11apg right now and only one short of 8apg for the series.
8
SGA rd2 assists leader+750
0.25u
Adding to position. SGA has 29 in 4g but x43, completely lapping the field. Randle is the leader here with 29 in 3g, but unless you think I that series goes 6-7, that “extra game” lead won’t matter. Nembhard 30 Hali 27 are splitting and could be done G5. Jokic hasn’t had 7a all series. SGA should be the favorite, esp if you think the series goes 7.
8
SGA assists leader vs DEN+200
1u
Adding to position after G2. He’s up 4 assists and 6 potentials a game on Jokic so +200 series leader still mispriced. +800 dk for rd2 leader is likely a matchup vs Hali Jokic too so esp if you think Denver gets another win, that’s a great escalator.
40
SGA rd2 assists leader+800
0.25u
Adding to position after G2. He’s up 4 assists and 6 potentials a game on Jokic so +200 series leader still mispriced. +800 dk for rd2 leader is likely a matchup vs Hali Jokic too so esp if you think Denver gets another win, that’s a great escalator.
32
Brunson rd2 points leader+2000
0.5u
Books have this series going longest and I agree with my Celtics belief, so hopefully that means 7g. Steph out, Ant/Donovan playing hurt, the biggest completion here should be Jokic/SGA but that series could end in 6 or even 5. We want points and games, and Brunson has the best shot at both. Market up at dk too.
15
SGA assists leader vs DEN-275
1u
You already know we’re gonna keep running back SGA assists. He’s lapping the field in potentials this round with over 20 a game, and even if OKC teammates keep converting at only 36% somehow (he was at 53% in season) this is STILL a bad number with over 7 expected assists. Blowout is the bigger concern but he’d be part of OKC getting there too. We’re just gonna keep playing and trust the numbers.
Series leader STILL priced wrong. He’s up 8 with a max 3 games left! And has led every game in potentials and actual assists! Jokic or Murray would need to average 3 more than him AND go 7 games to overtake. Even getting hurt and missing a game, he might still have enough to get the win. If you haven’t played yet, this is still value and still a good bet. Should genuinely be like -2500.
32
Dort 3s leader vs DEN+600
0.25u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
35
Nuggets +1.5 series vs OKC+105
1u
This is effectively a bet on Denver winning one more game at least at any point. We’ve had four games, one comfortable thunder blowout win, and three others that Denver took to crunch time with a shot to win every time. The others are showing up for the Nuggets, and OKC is not playing well, especially its offense. Having books are way behind and way over pricing OKC right now. Denver will have a huge home G6 edge in elevation for two exhausted teams, and they could steal G5 too. Even odds here is nuts, I gave Denver over 70% to win at least one more.
47
Thunder G5 / Nuggets series+1800
1u
We’ve had four games, one comfortable thunder blowout win, and three others that Denver took to crunch time with a shot to win every time. The others are showing up for the Nuggets, and OKC is not playing well, especially its offense. OKC way over priced in market right now even if they’re the better team. Denver has an awesome shot to win home G6 at altitude bt two tired teams, and they just need one other win to take the series.
Rather than betting Nuggets series +460, which I also show major value on at 19% implied, I’ll cut out the scenario where the road team wins the last 3g and just grab the other two scenarios. Denver in 6 +1200 and Denver losing G5 but winning series +1800 both badly mispriced. Playing both at a full unit giving us an implied 13% series ticket — and I have Denver over 40%. Nuggets are live and then some. Huge opportunity here.
Best is exact outcome WLWLLWW at mgm, or you can play as OKC G5 but lose series double at most books.
29
Giannis Antetokounmpo Finals MVP+2000
0.5u
Buckets Futures Blitztravaganza
37
Leone Fiebich Most Improved Player of the Year+6000
0.5u
Tailing @TurveyBets fav 3 wnba futures, listen to his case on WNBA Buckets 🪣
Sophie Cunningham Sixth Player of the Year+1100
0.5u
Tailing @TurveyBets fav 3 wnba futures, listen to his case on WNBA Buckets 🪣
Napheesa Collier MVP+475
1u
Tailing @TurveyBets fav 3 wnba futures, listen to his case on WNBA Buckets 🪣
Phee lit it up all summer with Unrivaled but left the playoffs disappointed so maybe she’ll parlay that into an MVP breakout
Futures
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander+600
2024-25 NBA MVP
2u
my all-in MVP position to start the NBA season. hear my case on Buckets
125
Los Angeles Lakers+2100
2024-25 NBA Championship - To Win
1u
Let’s get Buckets 🪣 check the Luka-Davis reaction pod… YOLO. You will not be mad you have a 21-1 ticket on Luka & LeBron in this West climate.
145
San Francisco 49ers+2000
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
1u
49ers as next year’s Eagles? My first 2026 Super Bowl pick Hot Read 🔥: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-futures-expert-projects-next-season-super-bowl-pick
81
Seattle Seahawks+7000
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
Next year’s Vikings? Elite D, great O weapons & new OC Kubiak elevates O: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-futures-expert-projects-next-season-super-bowl-pick
57
Kawhi Leonard+14000
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Finals - MVP
0.25u
Check Futures Friday Buckets 3/28 🪣. I just can’t quit Kawhi, this is a bomb but a bad number if this happens to be his one healthy stretch once every five seasons. Clips heavily matchup dependent but there’s a path and he’s a top 5 playoff player if healthy.
36
Kristaps Porziņģis+5500
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Finals - MVP
0.5u
Buckets 5% draft 🪣 we’ve already seen Celtics MVP votes go plurality and not necessarily the best player, only has to win MVP <20% of Cs finals wins and would be key esp vs OKC, could even be their most important player. This is a ticket you’ll be glad to have an a month when they are playing in ECF
59
Indiana Pacers+3300
2024-25 NBA Eastern Conference - To Win
0.25u
Buckets 5% draft 🪣 Haliburton 8.9 BPM and 138 Ortg since Jan 1. He might be the best meaningful player in the east playoffs. I like Pacers as clear first round favorites, and we don’t know for sure if the Cavs are the real thing in the playoffs. Pacers can score with anyone and have already shown they’re live vs NYK or BOS in potential ECF.
62
Milwaukee Bucks+10000
2024-25 NBA Eastern Conference - To Win
0.25u
The ultimate buy low. Giannis in full beast mode, avg 35/15, and now Dame is back and shaking off the rust. Bucks have the best player in the East and could have the two best players in any series. Celtics injuries piling up, Cavs struggling to to put Heat away, Knicks frauds… just a nibble!
53
Minnesota Timberwolves+110
2024-25 NBA Playoff Series - Round 2 - To Win
2.5u
Grabbing immediately after game one, as shared on Twitter, this price won’t be available for long. Golden State is drawing dead if Curry can’t return.
40
Boston Celtics+110
2024-25 NBA Eastern Conference - To Win
2.5u
Everything went wrong for Boston in game one, almost everything went right for New York, and it still took overtime to win by a single shot. I’m more confident in Boston after that, not less.
Teams home G2 after G1 loss by 3+ are 65% ATS, incl 17-5 rd2. Since 2020, Boston when fav after losing as a fav 15-3 ATS in playoffs. Great bounce back spot and the buy low spot on the Celtics we’ve been waiting for, so it’s time to take the Boston futures escalator.
47
Boston Celtics+190
2024-25 NBA Eastern Conference - To Win
2.5u
If you think we’re going away that easily, you don’t know me at all.
Celtics series 54%
Celtics in 6 20%
Celtics +1.5 60%
Celtics east 41% vs implied 34%
TRIPLE DOWN. See you at Buckets. 🪣
84
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0-3-0 | 0% | -1.88u |
| Last 7 Days | 21-34-0 | 38% | 0.00u |
| Last 30 Days | 75-155-0 | 33% | 32.77u |
| All Time | 2503-3226-98 | 43% | 712.28u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 1082-1393-30 | 43% | 409.60u |
| NBA | 1210-1535-61 | 43% | 206.77u |
| NCAAB | 150-211-5 | 41% | 68.78u |
| NCAAF | 31-25-1 | 54% | 17.94u |
| Champions | 6-4-1 | 55% | 7.98u |
| WNBA | 5-3-0 | 63% | 7.82u |
| MLS | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.66u |
| ATP | 1-3-0 | 25% | 1.13u |
| La Liga | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.04u |
| Women's World Cup | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.01u |
| World Cup | 3-9-0 | 25% | -2.70u |
| Premier League | 3-14-0 | 18% | -8.91u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Bet the Texans to go from worst to first in the division, and even doubled down with a Will Anderson DROY cherry on top. Joe Flacco CPOY +25000 and Nuggets over Heat +1600 exact outcome were fun, too!
Most Heartbreaking Bet
MVP bets. Tom Brady +1400 in 2021, odds-on favorite in December, but shutout vs. Saints on SNF. Nikola Jokic +900 in 2023, rightful leader all the way, but the moron voters get bored and go with Embiid last minute. Brock Purdy +5000 in 2024, odds-on favorite on Christmas, but the voters are too proud to vote for him or Dak. You're killin' me, Smalls!
Specialties
- Futures
- NFL Picks (every team, every game!)
- NBA Spreads & Props
- Escalator bets
- Long Shots