Red Sox vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2025

Red Sox at Royals

6:10 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

25-26

3 - 1

Kansas City Royals

28-23

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			3.02	3-4
L.Giolito			7.08	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 25-26	+1.5	+1.5-185	o8.5-115	+115
Royals 28-23	u8.5	-1.5+154	u8.5-106	-135

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

May 11, 2025

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

L.Giolito u4.5 Ks-140

0.7u

Tailing @cawright95

L.Giolito u4.5 Ks-140

1.4u

Giolito came out of the gates averaging 93.3 mph on his fastball. Last time out against the Rangers, it was down at 91.6 mph. Not ideal. The pitch mix is also a red flag. He's thrown a total of 9 sliders and curveballs so far. Fastballs and changeups make up nearly 95% of his arsenal through 2 starts. If the elbow surgery is limiting his repertoire, whether because of discomfort or lack of trust, he might be in trouble. Kansas City is the toughest strikeout matchup in the league for righties. They have the lowest K% vs. RHP over the past 30 days.

KC -125

1.25u

Over 8.5-109

0.55u

Bet to 9 (+100)

Red Sox vs. Royals: Fade Lucas Giolito
Charlie Wright•
May 11, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 15-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Royals' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	30-21	15-11	15-10	11-10	18-11
Red Sox	25-26	12-14	13-12	16-18	9-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	17-33-1	9-17	8-16-1	8-13	9-19-1
Red Sox	24-26-1	10-15-1	14-11	15-18-1	9-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	28-23	17-9	11-14	13-8	14-15
Red Sox	25-26	14-12	11-14	18-16	7-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	BOS	L 1-10	+1.5 L	O 7	BOS -115
May 9th	BOS	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 9	KC -110
May 8th	CWS	W 10-0	-1.5 W	O 8.5	KC -250
May 7th	CWS	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	KC -220
May 6th	CWS	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	KC -256

Seth Lugo
P
Lugo is out with finger
Out
Cole Ragans
P
Ragans is out with groin
Out
Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

Tanner Houck
P
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Romy Gonzalez
IF
Gonzalez is out with back
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RL.Giolito, P	88	6.2	5
LJ.Wilson, P	12	1	2
RG.Weissert, P	4	0.1	0
LA.Chapman, P	17	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2R.Devers, DH	2-3	1	1	2
3A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4W.Abreu, RF	3-4	1	1	1
5T.Story, SS	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Sogard, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Hamilton, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Narvaez, C	1-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	96	6	5	3
RS.Cruz, P	9	1	0	0
LD.Lynch, P	7	0.2	1	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	3	0.1	1	0
RT.Clarke, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R
1J.India, LF	0-4	0
1J.India, 2B	0-4	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-4	0
3V.Pasquantino, DH	0-4	0
4S.Perez, 1B	1-4	0
4C.Biggio, PR	0-0	0
5M.Garcia, 3B	0-4	0
6M.Massey, 2B	0-2	0
6M.Canha, PH	0-2	0
6M.Canha, LF	0-2	0
7D.Waters, RF	1-3	1
8L.Maile, C	1-2	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-2	0